Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 104.665707 120.655829 139.621837 164.166330 195.690160 2.357066e+02 291.896398
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 92.038630 114.391041 144.274982 188.942399 257.627598 3.667207e+02 573.116932
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 79.086021 102.259792 135.326405 189.086375 281.793103 4.545569e+02 874.496853
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 69.438167 92.286181 126.428889 185.508987 297.008053 5.353240e+02 1278.391186
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 62.402289 84.750241 119.403534 182.545643 311.439735 6.247948e+02 1907.683048
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.579240 79.756549 115.339288 183.440663 333.753315 7.534109e+02 3193.392021
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 53.539956 75.403733 111.520310 183.688227 354.789169 9.026998e+02 5832.903794
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 48.854597 69.470814 104.111930 175.136543 351.130388 9.680189e+02 8948.245872
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 46.890185 67.769460 103.885563 181.323609 389.098385 1.257237e+03 32946.771579
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 43.607689 63.527490 98.480248 175.129247 389.481910 1.378269e+03 103045.019420
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 41.712665 61.476306 96.893481 177.223151 416.699189 1.719232e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 39.474116 58.633322 93.461187 174.310836 426.549692 1.985020e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.794326 58.793738 96.524941 189.713369 519.956705 3.615193e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 39.205620 61.027609 104.322718 221.057194 725.325599 1.288969e+04 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.132574 58.377851 101.336290 221.202453 784.337265 2.618917e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.988279 55.387608 97.186591 216.697109 814.243989 5.289373e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.127445 52.784730 93.574087 212.969659 848.233122 1.539170e+05 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.746605 51.001986 91.601513 214.094674 922.643342 1.817518e+07 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.449106 49.275135 89.539760 214.405958 996.413744 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.677194 46.474667 84.647514 203.681144 961.480485 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.006618 45.846170 84.876240 211.434669 1120.674383 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.631909 43.687292 81.157406 203.672019 1107.799727 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.848683 42.693409 80.208689 206.292650 1226.288319 NaN NaN